The Next Generation of Scenarios for Climate Change Research and Assessment
Steven Rose participated as part of an interdisciplinary team of researchers in the development of a new process for creating scenarios of plausible futures to develop insights into some of the most important climate questions confronting the international community.  Advances in climate change observations and science are providing a clearer understanding of the earth’s climate system, its inherent variability, its response to human and natural influences, and the risks presented to ecosystems, natural resources, and human well-being.  These risks depend on large uncertainties about what technologies will be adopted, how consumption patterns will evolve, whether economic development will be sustainable and broadly extended in the developing world, and what measures and policies will be adopted to address climate change, as well as how the climate, atmosphere, and ecosystems will respond.  A paper is due to appear shortly in the journal Nature.  For more information, contact Steven Rose, (202) 293-6183, srose@epri.com.